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CSS past paper

CSS Statistics Past Paper 2020

CSS Statistics 2020 carries 100 marks over 3 hours. It has 7 questions.

Marks
100
Time
3 hours
Questions
7

How to attempt: Attempt ONLY FOUR questions from PART-II by selecting TWO questions from EACH SECTION. ALL questions carry EQUAL marks.

Questions

Question 1 (Part I) is the paper's MCQs, which are not reproduced here.

SECTION – A

  1. Q. 2
    (20)
    • (a)
      Two bags A and B contain red and blue marbles. Bag A contains 7 red and 8 blue marbles. Bag B contains 9 red and 7 blue marbles. One bag is selected randomly and one marble is drawn. If the drawn marble is red then what is the probability that this drawn marble is from bag A?
      (10)
    • (b)
      For the given set of observations showing weekly sale of a specific type of refrigerators.
      (10)

      35, 56, 43, 21, 43, 56, 78, 12, 56, 47, 76, 23, 52

      • (i)
        Find mean and standard deviation.
      • (ii)
        Find and describe xˉ±2(sd)\bar{x} \pm 2(sd)
  2. Q. 3
    Raw material used in the production of a synthetic fiber is stored in a place that has no humidity control. Measurements of the relative humidity (y) and moisture control (x), on ten days, are given below. Fit a Least Square model:
    (20)

    y=β1+β2x.y = \beta_{1} + \beta_{2}x. Further find and explain coefficient of determination.

    Humidity46533742342960484148
    Moisture1214111310817121015
  3. Q. 4
    Three teaching methods were implemented to a homogenous group of school level students. Groups of students, selected randomly, were taught with a particular method and their scores were recorded as given below:
    (20)
    Method A94, 88, 91, 74, 87, 97
    Method B85, 82, 79, 84, 61, 72, 80
    Method C89, 67, 72, 76, 69

    Use Kruskal-Wallis Test, at 5% level of significance to test the hypothesis that, on average there is no significant difference between the average score of these teaching methods.

SECTION-B

  1. Q. 5
    (20)
    • (a)
      Draw all possible samples of size 3, without replacement, from the population, 6, 12, 3, 9, 15, and 21. Find sample means and prove the following relationships, using usual notations.
      (15)
      • (i)
        E(xˉ)=μE(\bar{x}) = \mu and
      • (ii)
        V(xˉ)=σ2n(N−nN−1)V(\bar{x}) = \frac{\sigma^{2}}{n}\left(\frac{N-n}{N-1}\right)
    • (b)
      Define Stratified Random sampling method, identify situations where this type of sampling is beneficial. Give an example.
      (5)
  2. Q. 6
    (20)
    • (a)
      To compare the effectiveness of two medicines M1 and M2, for headache, a study was conducted. Samples from a homogeneous group of headache patients were selected randomly and administered M1 (six patients) and M2 (8 patients) selected randomly. Recovery times (in minutes) of Patients were recorded as follows:
      (15)
      Medicine M1129811109
      Medicine M2511768654

      Could it be concluded at 5% level of significance that, on average, medicine M2 is better than M1?

    • (b)
      While testing hypothesis one may commit errors when we make decisions. State and explain such errors, supporting by real life example.
      (5)
  3. Q. 7
    (20)
    • (a)
      The following Latin Square layout displays the scores secured by nine college students. Students are of different ethnic background and various professional interests.
      (15)
      Professional InterestEthnic Background
      XYZ
      LawA 75B 86C 69
      MedicineB 95C 79A 86
      EngineeringC 70A 83B 93

      In this table A, B, and C are the three instructors. Analyze and test following hypotheses, Use α = 0.05.

      • (i)
        Having a different instructor has no effect on the scores.
      • (ii)
        Differences in ethnic backgrounds have no effect on the scores
      • (iii)
        Differences in professional interest have no effect on the scores.
    • (b)
      Describe the role of Multiple Comparison tests in Analysis of Variance. Name few Multiple Comparison tests and explain one method.
      (5)
  4. Q. 8
    (20)
    • (a)
      Explain the terms Demography and Vital statistics. List few sources of demographic data both locally and globally.
      (5)
    • (b)
      Using the information given in the following table. Calculate Total Fertility Rate (TFR) and Gross Fertility Rate (GFR).
      (10)
      Age (years)Women PopulationNo of births to women
      15-1984790343
      20-247001014541
      25-297266016736
      30-347592012218
      35-3975100756
      40-447162082
      45-496666045
    • (c)
      Differentiate between Rates and Ratios. Explain Crude Death Rate and Specific Death Rate.
      (5)
  1. Part-II is to be attempted on the separate Answer Book.
  2. Attempt ONLY FOUR questions from PART-II by selecting TWO questions from EACH SECTION. ALL questions carry EQUAL marks.
  3. All the parts (if any) of each Question must be attempted at one place instead of at different places.
  4. Candidate must write Q. No. in the Answer Book in accordance with Q. No. in the Q.Paper.
  5. No Page/Space be left blank between the answers. All the blank pages of Answer Book must be crossed.
  6. Extra attempt of any question or any part of the attempted question will not be considered.
  7. Use of Calculator is allowed.
  8. Use of statistical table is allowed.

FPSC's wording, numbering and marks, as printed. Obvious misprints (a garbled word, a broken number) are corrected; everything else is kept as FPSC printed it.

The written exam starts with the MPT

Only candidates who pass the MCQ screening test (MPT) sit the written papers. Practice the 200-question MPT under exam conditions first.